Public Policy Polling (9/17-19, likely voters):
Tom Udall (D): 57
Steve Pearce (R): 37
(MoE: ±3%)
Pearce better get out of the way, because the Udall Express is barreling down Route 66 at a blazing speed. No wonder the NRSC isn’t wasting a dime here.
Bonus finding: In the Presidential race, Obama enjoys a 53-42 lead over McCain. It looks like Sarah Palin doesn’t play well in New Mexico, as only 38% of voters say her selection makes them more likely to vote for McCain, while 46% say the opposite. This state is looking good.
McCain could win New Mexico. Bush was able to squeak out the state by doing respectable among Hispanics, only losing 56-44. But McCain will do a lot worse than that and in a state where the 04 margin was 6K, he can’t afford to.